Keeping six feet apart may not be enough to protect people from COVID-19 during windy weather

Ill winds: Keeping six feet apart may not be enough to protect people from COVID-19 during blustery weather, study shows

  • Researchers simulated what happens to saliva droplets when coughed out 
  • Many factors affect saliva spread — including droplet size, wind and humidity
  • The model found that droplets can travel over 16 feet in a breeze of just 2.5 mph 
  • Shorter adults and children could be more at risk from this elongated cloud
  • The findings come amid a debate on whether the UK’s two-metre rule is needed
  • Here’s how to help people impacted by Covid-19

Keeping six feet — two metres — apart may not be enough to protect people from COVID-19 during blustery weather, a study has warned. 

Researchers found that saliva droplets can travel more than 16 feet (five metres) in just five seconds if there is a slight breeze of just around 2.5 miles per hour (4 kph).

The findings have been released amid a debate over the amount of distance people need to be putting between each other in order to keep safe from coronavirus.

Former Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith has today called for the Prime Minister to consider lowering the two-metre rule as to ‘get the economy moving’.

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Keeping six feet — two metres — apart may not be enough to protect people from COVID-19 during blustery weather, a study has warned. Researchers found that saliva droplets can travel more than 16 feet in just five seconds if there is a slight breeze of just around 2.5 miles per hour

‘The droplet cloud will affect both adults and children of different heights,’ said applied physicist Dimitris Drikakis of the University of Nicosia in Cyprus.

‘Shorter adults and children could be at higher risk if they are located within the trajectory of the travelling saliva droplets.’

Saliva is a complex fluid, one which — when released by a cough — travels from a person’s mouth suspended in the bulk flow of the surrounding air.

Many factors affect how saliva droplets travel, including the size and number of droplets, how they interact with one another and the surrounding air as they disperse and evaporate, as well as the humidity and air temperature.

To study how saliva moves through air, the researchers created a simulation that predicted the state and journey of every single droplet released from the mouth of a person when they cough.

The model considered the effects of humidity, dispersion force, the interactions between molecules of saliva and air and how the droplets ultimately change from liquid to vapour and evaporate.

Each analysis involved the crunching of equations to cover over a thousand saliva droplets — solving roughly 3.7 million equations in total.

Researchers found that saliva droplets can travel more than 16 feet (five metres) in just five seconds if there is a slight breeze of just around 2.5 miles per hour (4 kph) — and even further when the wind speed increases, raising the risk of infecting other people from a distance

Researchers found that saliva droplets can travel more than 16 feet (five metres) in just five seconds if there is a slight breeze of just around 2.5 miles per hour (4 kph) — and even further when the wind speed increases, raising the risk of infecting other people from a distance

‘Each cell holds information about variables like pressure, fluid velocity, temperature, droplet mass, droplet position, etc,’ said paper author and physicist Talib Dbouk, also of the University of Nicosia.

‘The purpose of the mathematical modelling and simulation is to take into account all the real coupling or interaction mechanisms that may take place between the main bulk fluid flow and the saliva droplets, and between the droplets themselves.’

‘This work is vital, because it concerns health and safety distance guidelines [and] advances the understanding of spreading and transmission of airborne diseases,’ added Professor Drikakis.

Former Conservative Party leader Iain Duncan Smith today called for the Prime Minister to reconsider the two-metre rule in order to ‘get the economy moving’.

The MP suggested that the UK is the ‘only country in Europe’ using the two metre distance, with Germany, Poland and the Netherlands practising 1.5 metre separation.

Despite Sir Iain’s claim, however, a number of European countries are also practising two-metre social distancing, including Switzerland, Spain and Italy.

The World Health Organisation, meanwhile, has proposed maintaining a minimum of ‘1 metre (3 feet) distance between yourself and others.’

The researchers’ findings, however, suggest that all of the above rules may be inadequate to keep people safe on windy days without face coverings.

The full findings of the study were published in the journal Physics of Fluids.

SOCIAL DISTANCING GUIDANCE DIFFERS BETWEEN COUNTRIES

The fact of the matter is there is a wide-ranging number of recommendations on social distancing that differ from country to country.

The World Health Organisation recommends one metre distance. 

The reason for this as stated on its website is that: ‘When someone coughs, sneezes, or speaks they spray small liquid droplets from their nose or mouth which may contain virus. If you are too close, you can breathe in the droplets, including the COVID-19 virus if the person has the disease.’

But other countries have taken advice from their own health experts and social distancing varies from two metres (in the UK) down to one metre (in France)

The two metre rule can be traced back to research in the 1930s that showed droplets of liquid from coughs or sneezes would land within a one-two metre range, as reported by the BBC.

Iain Duncan Smith is not the first to criticise the UK’s adopting of the two metre rule, out of line with many other European countries.  

Robert Dingwall, from the New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Advisory Group (Nervtag), previously said in April the rule was ‘conjured up out of nowhere’. 

Mr Dingwall told Radio 4’s Today: ‘We cannot sustain [social distancing measures] without causing serious damage to society, to the economy and to the physical and mental health of the population.

‘I think it will be much harder to get compliance with some of the measures that really do not have an evidence base. I mean the two-metre rule was conjured up out of nowhere.’ 

Social distancing varies between different countries: 

TWO METRES: UK, Switzerland, US, Spain, Italy

1.5 METRES: Germany, Poland, Netherlands

ONE METRE: Austria, Norway, Sweden, Finland